Latest
Dec. 9: Update No. 1 -- SPX settlement target (for now) = 6850-6858, with hard floor support at 6845
Dec. 9: Validation of SPX Aggregate Net Customer and Net Market positioning, by strike by strike analysis -- floor at 6845, and cap at 6890, with (-) CEX from 6870 aiding in PM trade
Dec. 9: Pre-NY Market assessment (Judgment Call) -- if NY opens at 6860 - 6865 on flat note, GEX gravity favors initial 6845 test, then 6890
Dec. 9: Key Characterization of Customer Positioning, and Market Makers' Hedge Reaction Function for the 0DTE -- GEX +22 limits downside while extreme customer bearish positioning provides squeeze fuel
SPX EOD Forecast: Line Of Least Resistance arcs towards 6825 - 6830 by NY close
Dec. 8: Validation of SPX Aggregate Net Customer and Net Market positioning, by strike by strike analysis -- the Iron Condor Whale may lose this trade
Dec. 8: Key Characterization of Customer Positioning, and Market Makers' Hedge Reaction Function for the 0DTE -- GEX compression + IC wings = range day
VIX FOMC Special Advisory (Preliminary): Smart Money Positions for a VIX Spike AND a Vix Crush
SPX FOMC Special Advisory (Preliminary): Customer Positioning Complacency Trap
Dec. 5: Update No. 1 -- 6870 - 6900 looks insurmountable -- we may have seen the 0DTE top at 6896
Dec. 5: Validation of SPX Aggregate Net Customer and Net Market positioning, by strike by strike analysis -- 6910 magnet has very large (-) CEX; MMs buy into the close
Dec. 5: Key Characterization of Customer Positioning, and Market Makers' Hedge Reaction Function for the 0DTE -- early NY may drift higher, but P.M. sell pressure will dominate